Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 10.403813 11.899291 13.487225 15.293928 17.287459 19.414872 21.851657
2025-03-09 8.214177 10.265759 12.593489 15.409915 18.704228 22.414244 26.886001
2025-03-16 6.513317 8.847863 11.663850 15.263846 19.693583 24.914641 31.477941
2025-03-23 5.648573 8.260195 11.582550 16.032266 21.741166 28.721285 37.792133
2025-03-30 4.757580 7.478647 11.122556 16.221478 23.019738 31.611558 43.110756
2025-04-06 3.821483 6.474948 10.219497 15.693017 23.269619 33.153566 46.754833
2025-04-13 3.046229 5.567963 9.316924 15.034028 23.235056 34.255180 49.812840
2025-04-20 2.734563 5.313614 9.309803 15.608056 24.892177 37.648902 56.003962
2025-04-27 2.598438 5.316817 9.676779 16.736459 27.374581 42.254360 63.988819
2025-05-04 2.416266 5.210895 9.851377 17.568882 29.451231 46.360221 71.418058
2025-05-11 2.118898 4.853455 9.576012 17.667349 30.423399 48.919088 76.758651
2025-05-18 1.800291 4.402869 9.090592 17.377910 30.767562 50.559011 80.824904
2025-05-25 1.528379 4.005110 8.665187 17.170872 31.256235 52.477490 85.440146
2025-06-01 1.332858 3.728177 8.421748 17.242038 32.176295 55.062812 91.105724
2025-06-08 1.132958 3.402812 8.048644 17.051960 32.652503 56.983110 95.844238
2025-06-15 1.068768 3.375379 8.241747 17.873293 34.825641 61.577672 104.709920
2025-06-22 0.948298 3.189740 8.099435 18.069970 35.953955 64.577428 111.247065
2025-06-29 0.775873 2.833943 7.564669 17.489024 35.714868 65.398627 114.466809
2025-07-06 0.620799 2.481950 6.987375 16.767928 35.174467 65.693991 116.854884
2025-07-13 0.579860 2.444732 7.096234 17.392128 37.036684 69.935479 125.513997
2025-07-20 0.580176 2.532202 7.495885 18.620024 40.030703 76.113671 137.369336
2025-07-27 0.559099 2.548773 7.731190 19.525031 42.469008 81.434847 147.978859
2025-08-03 0.494714 2.410478 7.584544 19.631817 43.442973 84.342086 154.798302